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I used to think that people who made predictions should
probably be locked away in a padded cell until their minds cleared. The
charts, graphs and polls of the sociologically-minded political pundits
always struck me as representing the futile attempts of non-scientific, fetid
air blowers to work their way up to the position of talking head. Then, like
Larry Sabato, they could bloviate about any subject and, oddly enough, be
taken seriously. In this year of political high
voltage, however, everyone you talk to seems to be in the prognostication
business. And, since I’m a firm believer in the
if-you-can’t-beat-them-join-them school of thought, I figured I’d link up
with Larry’s boys and walk the plank of futuristic folly. So here, in my
totally uneducated opinion, is what’s going to happen as the year
progresses. To begin with, on October 12,
Osama bin Laden will appear with President Bush in the White House Rose
Garden. At that time, the announcement will be made that, although he was
captured in January, bin Laden has been held incommunicado on a James River
ghost ship while the CIA and FBI fisticuffed over which agency would
interrogate him. Much as a result of bin Laden’s
capture, Bush will win big in November. I suspect he’ll be up between six and
eight points over John Kerry, though this depends on the Nader factor.
Actually, Nader might fool us all and garner about 6% of the vote. His
progressive platform will offer the only haven for leftist Democrats who once
again are about to be tossed to the wolves by their centrist-leaning
party. Unlike the Republicans, who
impregnate their far right with sweetbread and cream pie, the Democrats will
offer their base on the left nothing but compost heap slop and succulent
swill. As a result, the Republican steamroller will flatten Kerry, whose main
concerns will continue to be whether or not he owns an SUV, what he did with
all his war medals and why his long-winded Ciceronian clauses are bamboozling
the public. I predict also that the Florida
debacle of 2000 will not be repeated. Bush will win handsomely in Florida,
since brother Jeb and the Republican-owned legislature are busy installing
touch-screen electronic voting machines that leave absolutely no paper trail.
In addition, polling places will be manned by volunteers more than willing to
help the muddle-minded poke a finger at the right picture and name on the
screen. Goodbye, hanging chads. Hasta la vista, recounts. Immediately after he is
re-elected, Bush will, with the acquiescence of a Republican Congress, the
Supreme Court and the Pentagon, declare martial law. In the interests of
fighting terrorism, the Constitution will be abrogated. Duck-hunting buddies
Antonin Scalia and Dick Cheney will be instructed to assure that its
provisions are only covertly violated.
Bush will then declare himself
President-for-Life, and John Ashcroft will be appointed Pontifex Maximus, or
prime consultant to the divine will. Closer to home, Rep. Jo Ann Davis (R-1st) will
win in a landslide. Not only will she face no opposition from the now-dead
Democrats, but her popularity will have soared as a result of her insistence
on trash truck inspections and the fact that she pledged to uphold all Bush’s
budget vetoes – including those that snookered her own legislation. The
president will designate her a “Team-Player-for-Life.” In Williamsburg, Mayor Jeanne
Zeidler will continue to tip tepidly toward a new performing arts center. She
will stick to her story that thunderstorms, mosquitoes, 90 degree
temperatures and 100 percent humidity will not deter people from stampeding
to the newly refurbished William & Mary amphitheater, with or without a
roof, to hear the Virginia Symphony.
Nor should the fact that there’s no place to park trouble the
symphonic cognoscenti. Colonial Williamsburg,
meanwhile, will garner the approval of a friendlier City Council and the
Williamsburg planning commission to build 2000 mini-condos on the Spotswood
golf course. Like the local members of the now-defunct Tazewell Club, those
who golfed at the Spotswood will be told to take a hike or pay through the
nose for costlier greens. Tazewell members have already been shunted to the
dingy basement of Providence Hall. In this recreational remnant they’re
expected to pay the same exorbitant membership fees for no sauna, no
whirlpool, no steam room, no showers, no indoor pool and one unisex
bathroom. In a further cost-cutting move,
CW will fire most of its remaining employees and replace them with
volunteers. Volunteers will be expected to put in 500 hours a year, for which
they’ll receive attractive CW pins of appreciation. Finally, before the end of the
year, Del. Melanie Rapp (R-96th) will switch parties. Suffering
from a severe case of political pancreatic apoplexy brought on by Republican-
initiated tax hikes, Rapp and her anti-tax groupies will resurrect the old
Do-Nothing Party and run under its banner. Since a defunct Democratic Party
will have undoubtedly voted itself out of existence by December, her opponent
in 2005 will be Republican Philip Forgit. And that, I predict, is what
we’re in for later this year. Unless, that is, the Democrats can revivify a
necrotic John Kerry and persuade him to leave the jungles of Vietnam and
focus rather on the horrendous
miscalculations and atrocities that now constitute Iraq. |
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lewleadbeater.com Copyright 2002 All Rights Reserved
email: LWL@lewleadbeater.com |
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